QUANTO VALGONO 30 DENARI

Le recenti vicende jugoslave consentono di stimare approssimativamente
quanto varrebbero oggi i denari, valuta un tempo impiegata per le
transazioni sottobanco con il nemico - da non confondersi con i dinari
jugoslavi che valgono sempre meno grazie alle politiche devastanti
attuate dalle grandi istituzioni internazionali e dai loro servi locali
contro le popolazioni balcaniche. Poiche' l'arresto di Milosevic ha
fruttato solo 50 dei 100 milioni di dollari offerti dagli USA, un
semplice calcolo consente di fissare un tasso di cambio di 1 a 1 virgola
sei periodico milioni di dollari. (I. Slavo)

---

10 marzo 2001 - Repubblica on line
BELGRADO - Tramite il loro ambasciatore in Jugoslavia, gli Stati Uniti
hanno lanciato un ultimatum al primo ministro Zoran Djindjic.
Se Milosevic non verr� arrestato entro il 31 marzo o se la Jugoslavia
non dar� altri segnali concreti di voler collaborare con il Tribunale
dell'Aia, Washington non invier� i 100 milioni di dollari (oltre 200.000
miliardi di lire) d'aiuti promessi a Belgrado, di cui la met� sar� a
fondo perduto.

31 marzo 2001 - CNN
CNN 31-3-01 -- The arrest of former Yugoslav President Slobodan
Milosevic could trigger $50 million of aid for the Balkan nation from
the United States. [...] So far, $45 million has already been allocated
to the Yugoslav government, Milan Prodic, Yugoslav ambassador to the
United States, told CNN.

2 aprile 2001 - Repubblica on line
[...] Intanto gli Stati Uniti hanno deciso di sbloccare gli aiuti
economici alla Jugoslavia. Nel prendere la decisione, il segretario di
Stato americano Colin Powell ha per� notato che "gli Stati Uniti
s'attendono pi� progressi verso la democrazia in Jugoslavia nei prossimi
mesi". Arrivano quindi a Belgrado i 50 milioni di dollari (oltre 100
miliardi di lire) come "seconda rata" di aiuti Usa per quest'anno,
nonch� un prestito di 260 milioni di dollari del Fondo monetario
internazionale, per il quale era indispensabile il voto favorevole di
Washington.

---

Washington's cash injection far from enough for
Belgrade
BELGRADE, April 3 (AFP) -
The 50 million dollars in US aid approved by
Washington after Belgrade arrested Slobodan Milosevic
will be a desperately needed, but insufficient, shot
in the arm for Yugoslavia's devastated economy,
analysts said Tuesday.

US Secretary of State Colin Powell's announcement
Monday that Yugoslavia had qualified for the aid was
greeted with relief in a country trying to recover
from years of war, corruption and mismanagement.

Release of the funds was contingent upon Belgrade
cooperating with the United Nations war crimes
tribunal in The Hague.

"If Washington had given its veto, it would have been
a catastrophe," Budimir Babovic, a member of a
Belgrade foreign relations forum, told AFP.

"We need air or we won't be able to survive. Fifty
million dollars is not much, but it does open the door
to other opportunities," Babovic said.

Powell said Monday that Yugoslavia had qualified for
ongoing support by locking up the ex-leader Sunday,
hours after a deadline the United States had set for
Belgrade to either cooperate with the UN court or lose
the money.

But he added that unless Belgrade continues to work
with the court, Washington will not help convene a
donors conference for Yugoslavia.

Although the US money offers a crucial reprieve,
Belgrade is most eagerly waiting for cash infusions
from the World Bank and International Monetary Fund.

Yugoslav deputy prime minister Miroljub Labus said
last week that he had reached "a preliminary accord"
with the IMF for a 260 million dollar aid package. The
agreement is to be sealed in May, he said.

Belgrade rejoined the IMF in December after being
kicked out of the powerful Washington-based fund eight
years ago for its role in a series of Balkan wars.

Labus is also hoping for a pact with the Paris Club of
creditor nations to reschedule five billion dollars of
Yugoslavia's total international debt, currently at
12.2 billion dollars.

Although more aid appears to be forthcoming, Yugoslav
economist Branko Radulovic has said the country needs
2.5 billion dollars in external assistance to get the
country back on its feet.

And according to the last report by G-17, a group of
economists close to the new Belgrade government, it
will take no less than seven billion dollars to
restore the country's core infrastructure including
roads, electricity grids and the mining industry.

Nevertheless, the green light from Washington was a
crucial psychological boost for the weary Belgrade
reformers.

"Popular discontent continues to grow," Babovic said.

"Without foreign assistance, there is truly the risk
of political destabilization," he said.

Few Serbs have seen the quality of their lives improve
since Milosevic was toppled in a bloodless revolution
in October and Yugoslav President Vojislav Kostunica
took the reins.

Unemployment continues to hover at more than 40
percent and the gross national product, which
according to Labus fell 60 percent during Milosevic's
10 years in power, has dragged average per capita
annual income down to about 1,000 dollars.

The aid has also failed to alleviate fundamental
crises such as electricity and gas shortages in many
areas.

Belgrade is doing its best to bring order to the
chaotic public finances of Serbia, the larger of
Yugoslavia's two republics, and crack down on
widespread tax evasion.

The Serbian parliament approved a 129.4 billion dinar
(1.9 billion dollar) budget Friday that introduced an
unpopular salary freeze for public sector and state
administration workers.

Year-on-year inflation is forecast at 30 percent this
year, down from 110 percent in 2000.

---

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